FundX Outlook for Stocks, Bonds & Cash

by noloadfundx on June 18, 2013

stocksbondscashWhat can we expect from stocks, bonds and cash in the coming decade? This was one of the topics we discussed with SF Bay Area clients, subscribers and shareholders last month at our FundX Open House.

Most investors allocate their portfolio to stocks, bonds and cash based on past returns. Since 1925, stocks have handily outperformed bonds on average, and bonds have outpaced cash, which has essentially kept pace with inflation. But the problem is that returns are rarely average, even for periods of a decade or longer. Over the last 10 years, for example, stock returns have been far lower than their historic average, while bond returns have been much higher than average.

When we look at stocks, bonds and cash today, we find that Continue reading “FundX Outlook for Stocks, Bonds & Cash” »

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3 Ways to Avoid Running Out of Money in Retirement

by noloadfundx on June 13, 2013

retirementRetirees want to make sure their retirement accounts last longer than they do, but investors can’t know precisely how much they’ll need in retirement or how long they’ll be living off their retirement accounts.

There are a few ways that investors can increase the probability of outlasting their money, and a June 9, 2013 New York Times article, For Retirees, a Million-Dollar Illusion, highlighted three of them:

1. Investors can withdraw less from their retirement accounts; and/or
2. Investors can delay their retirement age; and/or
3. Investors can add stocks to their portfolios.

A chart that accompanied the article showed how each of these options reduced investors’ probability of running out of money in retirement.

Some of these options may be more feasible than others. Not all investors can change their cost of living or retire at a later age, but most investors can invest in stocks. The Times’ chart indicated that investing in stocks can dramatically reduce the probability of running out of money in retirement. The charts showed that a couple who retired at 65 and was entirely invested in bonds would have a frightening 70% chance of running out of money. If the couple invested 60% of their portfolio in stocks and 40% in bonds, they’d have less than a 20% chance of running out of money.

We include stocks in the retirement accounts we manage for clients Continue reading “3 Ways to Avoid Running Out of Money in Retirement” »

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Bond Funds for a Rising Interest Rate Environment

June 11, 2013

Interest rates rose sharply in May, but no one knows whether they are near the top of a trading range or if they are starting a sustained upward climb. Most bonds are negatively affected by rising interest rates since bond prices fall when interest rates rise, but not all areas of the bond market are [...]

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Active Trading Pays Off Over Time

June 6, 2013

Our Upgrading strategy leads us to assess our portfolios monthly and make any necessary trades. This approach has led us to beat the S&P 500 over the long term. But could we still outperform the market if we traded less frequently? We compared changing our portfolios monthly versus annually in the June issue of NoLoad [...]

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Stocks Continued to Climb, Bonds Struggled

June 4, 2013

Stocks continued to climb in May amid mixed economic reports, while bonds suffered when interest rates rose. As markets consolidate near all-time highs, it’s helpful to remember that market pullbacks are normal. Preparing for pullbacks is very different from attempting to predict them. We prepare for pullbacks by owning balanced portfolios, diversifying our holdings, and [...]

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June 2013 Fund & ETF Changes

June 3, 2013

Each month, we highlight any changes we’ve made to the NoLoad FundX fund and ETF listings. Name Changes Class 3 Stratton Multi-Cap (STRGX) renamed Stratton Mid Cap Value. Aberdeen acquired Artio Funds and the following Artio Funds were renamed: Class 3 Artio International Equity II A (JETAX) renamed Aberdeen Select International Equity II. Online Supplement [...]

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ETFs in NoLoad FundX

May 30, 2013

How do we winnow the universe of 1,200 ETFs down to the 170 ETFs we cover in NoLoad FundX? Here’s a closer look at our screening process: Risk – Nearly 200 ETFs currently on the market are leveraged and inverse ETFs, but we believe that the potential benefit of leveraged ETFs is generally outweighed by [...]

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5 Questions Investors are Asking About ETFs

May 28, 2013

Last week we hosted an open house at our San Francisco offers. We welcomed subscribers, clients and shareholders for a presentation and social hour.  Following our talk, we took questions and most of these questions centered on exchange traded funds (ETFs). FundX CIO (and resident ETF expert) Jason Browne answered most of these questions, and [...]

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The Wall Street Transcript Talks with FundX’s Jason Browne

May 23, 2013

The Wall Street Transcript recently published a detailed interview with FundX CIO Jason Browne in its April 26, 2013 issue. Jason offered insights into the FundX’s Upgrading process, and, since this issue of The Transcript focused on the financial services sector, he explained how we get exposure to financials. Since The Wall Street Transcript is [...]

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Academic Studies Find Mutual Funds Profit from Momentum

May 21, 2013

Morningstar and NoLoad FundX have strikingly different investment approaches, so we were surprised to read Morningstar’s Does Momentum Investing Work? (April 10, 2013). The article concludes that momentum investing does work, calling the evidence in support of momentum investing “too overwhelming to ignore.” Morningstar cited a 1993 study that found momentum in U.S. stocks and [...]

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